Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$19,249 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,686Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,686Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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