Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in Illinois' 5th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Democratic performance across Chicago and surrounding suburbs. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
$25,257 Vol.
$25,257 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$25,257 Vol.
$25,257 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,961 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$16,296 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in Illinois' 5th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Democratic performance across Chicago and surrounding suburbs. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,257Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in Illinois' 5th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Democratic performance across Chicago and surrounding suburbs. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,257Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in Illinois' 5th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Democratic performance across Chicago and surrounding suburbs. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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