Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—projected at 6-7 seats in most surveys, consistent with trader consensus on that range. The three parties finalized their alliance in late August after months of negotiations over slate order and representation, following an earlier preliminary agreement among Arab factions. Ra'am is contesting separately and polling around 4-5 seats. Arab voter turnout, internal party dynamics, and the wider contest between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs continue to influence outcomes, with historical patterns indicating that unified Arab lists tend to maximize seats relative to fragmented runs. No major late shifts have altered the central tendency in recent data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato6-7 58%
8-9 25%
10-11 25%
<6 18%
<6
20%
6-7
58%
8-9
25%
10-11
25%
12+
4%
6-7 58%
8-9 25%
10-11 25%
<6 18%
<6
20%
6-7
58%
8-9
25%
10-11
25%
12+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad—projected at 6-7 seats in most surveys, consistent with trader consensus on that range. The three parties finalized their alliance in late August after months of negotiations over slate order and representation, following an earlier preliminary agreement among Arab factions. Ra'am is contesting separately and polling around 4-5 seats. Arab voter turnout, internal party dynamics, and the wider contest between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs continue to influence outcomes, with historical patterns indicating that unified Arab lists tend to maximize seats relative to fragmented runs. No major late shifts have altered the central tendency in recent data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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