Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between seven and ten seats, reflecting voter shifts amid the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy and competition from parties like Otzma Yehudit and Likud for traditional support. Arye Deri's leadership has faced internal rabbinic tensions and external criticism over campaign messaging invoking IDF service, contributing to modest erosion from the party's prior 11-seat result. Trader consensus across the listed ranges remains fragmented because seat totals for smaller religious parties hinge on turnout among Haredi voters, last-minute alliances, and threshold dynamics in a fragmented field where no bloc holds a clear majority. Upcoming party list deadlines and further surveys could widen or narrow these probabilities depending on mobilization on conscription policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato6-7 27%
12+ 26%
8-9 24%
10-11 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
23%
6-7
27%
8-9
24%
10-11
24%
12+
26%
6-7 27%
12+ 26%
8-9 24%
10-11 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
23%
6-7
$31 Vol.
27%
8-9
$0 Vol.
24%
10-11
$0 Vol.
24%
12+
$0 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between seven and ten seats, reflecting voter shifts amid the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy and competition from parties like Otzma Yehudit and Likud for traditional support. Arye Deri's leadership has faced internal rabbinic tensions and external criticism over campaign messaging invoking IDF service, contributing to modest erosion from the party's prior 11-seat result. Trader consensus across the listed ranges remains fragmented because seat totals for smaller religious parties hinge on turnout among Haredi voters, last-minute alliances, and threshold dynamics in a fragmented field where no bloc holds a clear majority. Upcoming party list deadlines and further surveys could widen or narrow these probabilities depending on mobilization on conscription policy.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$31Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between seven and ten seats, reflecting voter shifts amid the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy and competition from parties like Otzma Yehudit and Likud for traditional support. Arye Deri's leadership has faced internal rabbinic tensions and external criticism over campaign messaging invoking IDF service, contributing to modest erosion from the party's prior 11-seat result. Trader consensus across the listed ranges remains fragmented because seat totals for smaller religious parties hinge on turnout among Haredi voters, last-minute alliances, and threshold dynamics in a fragmented field where no bloc holds a clear majority. Upcoming party list deadlines and further surveys could widen or narrow these probabilities depending on mobilization on conscription policy.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$31Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Shas consistently projected between seven and ten seats, reflecting voter shifts amid the ultra-Orthodox draft controversy and competition from parties like Otzma Yehudit and Likud for traditional support. Arye Deri's leadership has faced internal rabbinic tensions and external criticism over campaign messaging invoking IDF service, contributing to modest erosion from the party's prior 11-seat result. Trader consensus across the listed ranges remains fragmented because seat totals for smaller religious parties hinge on turnout among Haredi voters, last-minute alliances, and threshold dynamics in a fragmented field where no bloc holds a clear majority. Upcoming party list deadlines and further surveys could widen or narrow these probabilities depending on mobilization on conscription policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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