Recent polling averages for the 2026 Israeli legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats, with most surveys showing 7 or 8 mandates amid stable Haredi voter mobilization. This narrow band sustains tight trader pricing between sub-7 and 7–8 outcomes, as UTJ’s support has shown limited volatility despite broader shifts between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, potential post-election list adjustments within the party, and turnout levels among ultra-Orthodox communities. Developments that could shift probabilities include finalized candidate lists, intensified draft-law negotiations, or unexpected changes in religious voter alignment before the vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni in Israele: UTJ # di seggi?
Elezioni in Israele: UTJ # di seggi?
7-8 42%
9-10 40%
<7 29%
11+ 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<7
29%
7-8
42%
9-10
40%
11+
24%
7-8 42%
9-10 40%
<7 29%
11+ 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<7
$0 Vol.
29%
7-8
$0 Vol.
42%
9-10
$0 Vol.
40%
11+
$0 Vol.
24%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for the 2026 Israeli legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats, with most surveys showing 7 or 8 mandates amid stable Haredi voter mobilization. This narrow band sustains tight trader pricing between sub-7 and 7–8 outcomes, as UTJ’s support has shown limited volatility despite broader shifts between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, potential post-election list adjustments within the party, and turnout levels among ultra-Orthodox communities. Developments that could shift probabilities include finalized candidate lists, intensified draft-law negotiations, or unexpected changes in religious voter alignment before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for the 2026 Israeli legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats, with most surveys showing 7 or 8 mandates amid stable Haredi voter mobilization. This narrow band sustains tight trader pricing between sub-7 and 7–8 outcomes, as UTJ’s support has shown limited volatility despite broader shifts between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, potential post-election list adjustments within the party, and turnout levels among ultra-Orthodox communities. Developments that could shift probabilities include finalized candidate lists, intensified draft-law negotiations, or unexpected changes in religious voter alignment before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the 2026 Israeli legislative election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 Knesset seats, with most surveys showing 7 or 8 mandates amid stable Haredi voter mobilization. This narrow band sustains tight trader pricing between sub-7 and 7–8 outcomes, as UTJ’s support has shown limited volatility despite broader shifts between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, potential post-election list adjustments within the party, and turnout levels among ultra-Orthodox communities. Developments that could shift probabilities include finalized candidate lists, intensified draft-law negotiations, or unexpected changes in religious voter alignment before the vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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