Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–23 seats, trailing or closely trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at around 24 seats. Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc, including allies such as Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Religious Zionism, consistently falls to 48–52 seats even after potential additions like Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, remaining well short of the 61-seat majority threshold. The entry of splinter parties has fragmented right-wing support, drawing votes from Likud and smaller allies while the broader opposition bloc leads. Netanyahu has publicly noted significant seat losses, aligning with polling trends that place his party well below its prior totals and support the strong trader consensus on seat reductions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato93% probabilità
$15,275 Vol.
$15,275 Vol.
26 ott 2026
93% probabilità
$15,275 Vol.
$15,275 Vol.
26 ott 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–23 seats, trailing or closely trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at around 24 seats. Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc, including allies such as Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Religious Zionism, consistently falls to 48–52 seats even after potential additions like Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, remaining well short of the 61-seat majority threshold. The entry of splinter parties has fragmented right-wing support, drawing votes from Likud and smaller allies while the broader opposition bloc leads. Netanyahu has publicly noted significant seat losses, aligning with polling trends that place his party well below its prior totals and support the strong trader consensus on seat reductions.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$15,275Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–23 seats, trailing or closely trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at around 24 seats. Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc, including allies such as Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Religious Zionism, consistently falls to 48–52 seats even after potential additions like Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, remaining well short of the 61-seat majority threshold. The entry of splinter parties has fragmented right-wing support, drawing votes from Likud and smaller allies while the broader opposition bloc leads. Netanyahu has publicly noted significant seat losses, aligning with polling trends that place his party well below its prior totals and support the strong trader consensus on seat reductions.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$15,275Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–23 seats, trailing or closely trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at around 24 seats. Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition bloc, including allies such as Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Religious Zionism, consistently falls to 48–52 seats even after potential additions like Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, remaining well short of the 61-seat majority threshold. The entry of splinter parties has fragmented right-wing support, drawing votes from Likud and smaller allies while the broader opposition bloc leads. Netanyahu has publicly noted significant seat losses, aligning with polling trends that place his party well below its prior totals and support the strong trader consensus on seat reductions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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