Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 16 giugno - 23 giugno 2026?
Khamenei # posts 16 giugno - 23 giugno 2026?
30-34 27%
35-39 27%
5-9 26%
40-44 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 giu 2026
<5
42%
5-9
26%
10-14
25%
15-19
26%
20-24
26%
25-29
25%
30-34
27%
35-39
27%
40-44
26%
45-49
24%
50-54
26%
55-59
26%
60+
25%
30-34 27%
35-39 27%
5-9 26%
40-44 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 giu 2026
<5
$22 Vol.
42%
5-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10-14
$0 Vol.
25%
15-19
$0 Vol.
26%
20-24
$0 Vol.
26%
25-29
$0 Vol.
25%
30-34
$0 Vol.
27%
35-39
$0 Vol.
27%
40-44
$0 Vol.
26%
45-49
$10 Vol.
24%
50-54
$9 Vol.
26%
55-59
$10 Vol.
26%
60+
$10 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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