Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,525,393 Vol.
$1,525,393 Vol.
13 giu 2026
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,525,393 Vol.
$1,525,393 Vol.
13 giu 2026
<40
$102,915 Vol.
No
40-64
$400,821 Vol.
Yes
65-89
$253,465 Vol.
No
90-114
$327,945 Vol.
No
115-139
$191,874 Vol.
No
140-164
$104,052 Vol.
No
165-189
$63,512 Vol.
No
190-214
$35,866 Vol.
No
215-239
$17,414 Vol.
No
240+
$27,529 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,525,393Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,525,393Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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