**Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm of 20-30 posts per day, driven by ongoing commentary on X, Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and public discourse, anchors trader expectations in the 160-199 tweet window for the June 9-16 period.** Partial tracking through mid-June shows activity aligning with historical averages, keeping the 160-179 band (36% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 180-199 (27.5%). Variability from breaking news, company milestones, or viral moments creates the tight contest, as traders weigh daily fluctuations against the full eight-day window. Precedent from similar weekly markets highlights how late-week spikes or lulls can shift resolution, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time engagement patterns rather than any single catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato160-179 36.4%
180-199 26%
140-159 13.3%
200-219 13%
$3,901,080 Vol.
$3,901,080 Vol.
16 giu 2026
120-139
2%
140-159
13%
160-179
36%
180-199
26%
200-219
13%
220-239
4%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 36.4%
180-199 26%
140-159 13.3%
200-219 13%
$3,901,080 Vol.
$3,901,080 Vol.
16 giu 2026
120-139
$370,920 Vol.
2%
140-159
$265,433 Vol.
13%
160-179
$153,329 Vol.
36%
180-199
$140,587 Vol.
26%
200-219
$154,388 Vol.
13%
220-239
$160,777 Vol.
4%
240-259
$143,283 Vol.
1%
260-279
$141,161 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$137,253 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$166,666 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$164,053 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$125,468 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$127,949 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$142,289 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$98,065 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$74,830 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$58,625 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$136,818 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$87,058 Vol.
<1%
500+
$160,434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm of 20-30 posts per day, driven by ongoing commentary on X, Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and public discourse, anchors trader expectations in the 160-199 tweet window for the June 9-16 period.** Partial tracking through mid-June shows activity aligning with historical averages, keeping the 160-179 band (36% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 180-199 (27.5%). Variability from breaking news, company milestones, or viral moments creates the tight contest, as traders weigh daily fluctuations against the full eight-day window. Precedent from similar weekly markets highlights how late-week spikes or lulls can shift resolution, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time engagement patterns rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$3,901,080Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm of 20-30 posts per day, driven by ongoing commentary on X, Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and public discourse, anchors trader expectations in the 160-199 tweet window for the June 9-16 period.** Partial tracking through mid-June shows activity aligning with historical averages, keeping the 160-179 band (36% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 180-199 (27.5%). Variability from breaking news, company milestones, or viral moments creates the tight contest, as traders weigh daily fluctuations against the full eight-day window. Precedent from similar weekly markets highlights how late-week spikes or lulls can shift resolution, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time engagement patterns rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,901,080Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm of 20-30 posts per day, driven by ongoing commentary on X, Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and public discourse, anchors trader expectations in the 160-199 tweet window for the June 9-16 period.** Partial tracking through mid-June shows activity aligning with historical averages, keeping the 160-179 band (36% implied probability) narrowly ahead of 180-199 (27.5%). Variability from breaking news, company milestones, or viral moments creates the tight contest, as traders weigh daily fluctuations against the full eight-day window. Precedent from similar weekly markets highlights how late-week spikes or lulls can shift resolution, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time engagement patterns rather than any single catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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