SpaceX’s June 12 Nasdaq debut at valuations exceeding $2 trillion immediately lifted Elon Musk’s combined stakes in the rocket maker and Tesla above $1.1 trillion, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.2% implied probability for an 800 billion-plus net worth on June 30. Musk’s roughly 42% SpaceX ownership, now marked to a public price near $160–$168 per share, supplies the dominant component, while his Tesla holdings—valued around $300 billion at recent closes near $400—add substantial buffer even after prior volatility. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, limited downside catalysts exist beyond modest share-price swings, as lock-up provisions and sustained institutional demand for both equities limit the scope for rapid erosion below the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 Vol.
$48,076 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 Vol.
$48,076 Vol.
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s June 12 Nasdaq debut at valuations exceeding $2 trillion immediately lifted Elon Musk’s combined stakes in the rocket maker and Tesla above $1.1 trillion, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.2% implied probability for an 800 billion-plus net worth on June 30. Musk’s roughly 42% SpaceX ownership, now marked to a public price near $160–$168 per share, supplies the dominant component, while his Tesla holdings—valued around $300 billion at recent closes near $400—add substantial buffer even after prior volatility. With only two weeks remaining until resolution, limited downside catalysts exist beyond modest share-price swings, as lock-up provisions and sustained institutional demand for both equities limit the scope for rapid erosion below the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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