Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s confirmed death in recent U.S.-Israeli strikes has shifted control of his official X account to institutional management under Iran’s post-transition leadership. With the Supreme Leader no longer issuing personal statements, activity on @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels has dropped sharply, producing trader consensus that fewer than five posts will appear during the June 12–19 window. Historical patterns show the account typically released multiple statements weekly during periods of active diplomacy or conflict; the current vacuum, combined with ongoing succession negotiations and restricted Iranian internet access, supports the heavy weighting toward minimal output. Scheduled events such as any early mourning-period announcements or regime messaging could still alter the range, though structural constraints make elevated volume unlikely.