Kentucky's 5th congressional district, encompassing the rural coalfields of eastern Kentucky, has maintained a strong Republican tilt for decades, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and recent primary results where incumbent Hal Rogers secured the GOP nomination with over 77% of the vote. Rogers, first elected in 1980, faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf and several independents in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting history, low Democratic registration, and limited opposition resources. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though no such catalysts have emerged since the May primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKY-05 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
KY-05 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$30,258 Vol.
$30,258 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
95%
Partito Democratico
6%
$30,258 Vol.
$30,258 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$19,432 Vol.
95%
Partito Democratico
$10,826 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th congressional district, encompassing the rural coalfields of eastern Kentucky, has maintained a strong Republican tilt for decades, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and recent primary results where incumbent Hal Rogers secured the GOP nomination with over 77% of the vote. Rogers, first elected in 1980, faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf and several independents in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting history, low Democratic registration, and limited opposition resources. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though no such catalysts have emerged since the May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$30,258Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th congressional district, encompassing the rural coalfields of eastern Kentucky, has maintained a strong Republican tilt for decades, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and recent primary results where incumbent Hal Rogers secured the GOP nomination with over 77% of the vote. Rogers, first elected in 1980, faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf and several independents in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting history, low Democratic registration, and limited opposition resources. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though no such catalysts have emerged since the May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,258Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 5th congressional district, encompassing the rural coalfields of eastern Kentucky, has maintained a strong Republican tilt for decades, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and recent primary results where incumbent Hal Rogers secured the GOP nomination with over 77% of the vote. Rogers, first elected in 1980, faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf and several independents in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting history, low Democratic registration, and limited opposition resources. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though no such catalysts have emerged since the May primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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