Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Easeweather project a minimum temperature near 10–11°C in Helsinki on September 3, consistent with the climatological average low of 11.3°C but with model spread allowing for cooler outcomes under clearer skies and lighter winds. Southwesterly flow and 30% rain chances may limit radiative cooling, yet overnight dew points near 10°C and potential model revisions keep the 8°C-or-below bucket at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh downside risks. Historical September 3 lows have reached 1.4°C, underscoring variability this early in the month when high pressure or northerly shifts can accelerate cooling. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Helsinki il 3 settembre?
18°C o superiore 47%
15°C 46%
8°C or below 44%
11°C 27%
8°C or below
44%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
24%
14°C
18%
15°C
46%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C o superiore
47%
18°C o superiore 47%
15°C 46%
8°C or below 44%
11°C 27%
8°C or below
44%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
24%
14°C
18%
15°C
46%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C o superiore
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and Easeweather project a minimum temperature near 10–11°C in Helsinki on September 3, consistent with the climatological average low of 11.3°C but with model spread allowing for cooler outcomes under clearer skies and lighter winds. Southwesterly flow and 30% rain chances may limit radiative cooling, yet overnight dew points near 10°C and potential model revisions keep the 8°C-or-below bucket at 45.5% implied probability as traders weigh downside risks. Historical September 3 lows have reached 1.4°C, underscoring variability this early in the month when high pressure or northerly shifts can accelerate cooling. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti