Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 luglio?
16°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 35%
14°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 lug 2026
12°C or below
28%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
36%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 35%
14°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 lug 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
35%
20°C
$27 Vol.
1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C o superiore
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$107Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight low near 18°C for London on July 13 amid a lingering warm spell, with model runs showing modest variability from clear-sky radiative cooling versus increased cloud or breeze. This places typical July climatological minima (around 14–16°C) and current guidance in a tight range, driving near-even market-implied odds clustered on 13–19°C outcomes. Traders weigh ensemble spread, urban heat-island effects, and any last-model updates expected before resolution, with uncertainty highest around the exact minimum threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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