Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C and overnight minima around 27–28°C on July 13, consistent with the post-Meiyu transition into peak summer when persistent warm, humid air masses limit radiative cooling. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds typical of the region keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to the 25°C July climatological average. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in steering patterns or frontal activity through mid-month, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes while leaving room for modest cooling if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated numerical guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 luglio?
28°C 44%
27°C 39%
23°C o inferiore 15%
24°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
39%
28°C
44%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C o superiore
13%
28°C 44%
27°C 39%
23°C o inferiore 15%
24°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
39%
28°C
44%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C o superiore
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs near 32°C and overnight minima around 27–28°C on July 13, consistent with the post-Meiyu transition into peak summer when persistent warm, humid air masses limit radiative cooling. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds typical of the region keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to the 25°C July climatological average. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in steering patterns or frontal activity through mid-month, supporting trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes while leaving room for modest cooling if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated numerical guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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