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Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 45%

Aaron Judge 20%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Kyle Schwarber 45%

Aaron Judge 20%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Kyle Schwarber

$1,756 Vol.

45%

Aaron Judge

$298 Vol.

27%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,644 Vol.

11%

Matt Olson

$761 Vol.

8%

Yordan Alvarez

$120 Vol.

6%

James Wood

$197 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$105 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$318 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$261 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$301 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$105 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$105 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$105 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$105 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$155 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$132 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$105 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$105 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$105 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$155 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$105 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$105 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$105 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$105 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$127 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber has surged to the top of the MLB home run leaderboard with 20 long balls through mid-May, becoming the first player to reach that mark in 2026 and establishing a clear lead over Aaron Judge’s 16. The Phillies designated hitter’s recent power surge, including a pair of homers in a single game, has driven his strong pace and solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status. Judge remains a close second with consistent production from the Yankees lineup, while Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson sit further back amid solid but slower starts for their respective clubs. Market pricing reflects these early-season batting trends and the inherent variability in home run totals over a full 162-game schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,481
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber has surged to the top of the MLB home run leaderboard with 20 long balls through mid-May, becoming the first player to reach that mark in 2026 and establishing a clear lead over Aaron Judge’s 16. The Phillies designated hitter’s recent power surge, including a pair of homers in a single game, has driven his strong pace and solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status. Judge remains a close second with consistent production from the Yankees lineup, while Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson sit further back amid solid but slower starts for their respective clubs. Market pricing reflects these early-season batting trends and the inherent variability in home run totals over a full 162-game schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,481
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 25 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kyle Schwarber" a 46%, seguito da "Aaron Judge" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MLB: Home Runs Leader", esplora i 25 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: Home Runs Leader" è "Kyle Schwarber" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Aaron Judge" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: Home Runs Leader" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.