Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato“Moana (2026)” 3° Weekend Box Office
“Moana (2026)” 3° Weekend Box Office
<8 mln 43%
8-9 milioni 43%
9-10 milioni 43%
10-11 mln 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
<8 mln
43%
8-9 milioni
43%
9-10 milioni
43%
10-11 mln
43%
11-12 mln
43%
12-13 milioni
43%
13 milioni+
43%
<8 mln 43%
8-9 milioni 43%
9-10 milioni 43%
10-11 mln 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
<8 mln
$0 Vol.
43%
8-9 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
9-10 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
10-11 mln
$0 Vol.
43%
11-12 mln
$0 Vol.
43%
12-13 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
13 milioni+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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