New Mexico's 2026 open gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination in the June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who advanced as the GOP nominee. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democrat at 90.5 percent due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, Haaland's statewide name recognition from federal service, and polling averages showing double-digit leads through mid-2026. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from turnout changes among key voting blocs, economic or crime concerns highlighted in voter surveys, late campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
91%
Repubblicano
9%
$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$16,559 Vol.
91%
Repubblicano
$6,449 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's 2026 open gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination in the June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who advanced as the GOP nominee. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democrat at 90.5 percent due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, Haaland's statewide name recognition from federal service, and polling averages showing double-digit leads through mid-2026. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from turnout changes among key voting blocs, economic or crime concerns highlighted in voter surveys, late campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$23,008Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's 2026 open gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination in the June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who advanced as the GOP nominee. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democrat at 90.5 percent due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, Haaland's statewide name recognition from federal service, and polling averages showing double-digit leads through mid-2026. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from turnout changes among key voting blocs, economic or crime concerns highlighted in voter surveys, late campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,008Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's 2026 open gubernatorial race features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination in the June primary, against Republican Gregg Hull, the Rio Rancho mayor who advanced as the GOP nominee. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democrat at 90.5 percent due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, Haaland's statewide name recognition from federal service, and polling averages showing double-digit leads through mid-2026. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from turnout changes among key voting blocs, economic or crime concerns highlighted in voter surveys, late campaign developments, or unexpected polling movement in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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