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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

Andy Burnham 56.5%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,249,674 Vol.

Andy Burnham 56.5%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,249,674 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$571,117 Vol.

56%

icon for Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

$381,236 Vol.

13%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$468,646 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$284,013 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,246 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$210,904 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,777 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$298,443 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$282,640 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$294,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$448,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$374,018 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$332,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,441 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent turmoil within the governing Labour Party, driven by disappointing local election results and growing backbench pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the next prime minister in 2026. Starmer has faced dozens of calls to resign or set a departure timetable, prompting cabinet resignations including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting and positioning by figures such as former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Burnham’s strong personal popularity and path to returning to Parliament via a by-election in Makerfield underpin his position, though success depends on winning that seat and navigating any formal leadership contest. These developments highlight uncertainty over whether Starmer can retain control through the summer or if a change occurs before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,249,674
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent turmoil within the governing Labour Party, driven by disappointing local election results and growing backbench pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the next prime minister in 2026. Starmer has faced dozens of calls to resign or set a departure timetable, prompting cabinet resignations including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting and positioning by figures such as former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Burnham’s strong personal popularity and path to returning to Parliament via a by-election in Makerfield underpin his position, though success depends on winning that seat and navigating any formal leadership contest. These developments highlight uncertainty over whether Starmer can retain control through the summer or if a change occurs before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,249,674
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andy Burnham" a 56%, seguito da "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 56¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" ha generato $7.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è "Andy Burnham" a 56%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.