Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty. A pre-trial motions hearing is scheduled for November 17, 2026, with the trial set for June 2027. Any release would hinge on U.S. judicial outcomes, executive actions such as dismissal or clemency, or diplomatic arrangements involving the Venezuelan interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, which has already pursued prisoner amnesties and closer ties with Washington on sanctions and energy issues. Historical precedents for high-profile detainee transfers or deals, combined with ongoing bilateral negotiations, shape trader assessments of timing and responsible actors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,687,688 Vol.
31 gen 2026
31 dicembre
7%
$2,687,688 Vol.
31 dicembre
$292,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty. A pre-trial motions hearing is scheduled for November 17, 2026, with the trial set for June 2027.
Any release would hinge on U.S. judicial outcomes, executive actions such as dismissal or clemency, or diplomatic arrangements involving the Venezuelan interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, which has already pursued prisoner amnesties and closer ties with Washington on sanctions and energy issues. Historical precedents for high-profile detainee transfers or deals, combined with ongoing bilateral negotiations, shape trader assessments of timing and responsible actors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,688Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty. A pre-trial motions hearing is scheduled for November 17, 2026, with the trial set for June 2027.
Any release would hinge on U.S. judicial outcomes, executive actions such as dismissal or clemency, or diplomatic arrangements involving the Venezuelan interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, which has already pursued prisoner amnesties and closer ties with Washington on sanctions and energy issues. Historical precedents for high-profile detainee transfers or deals, combined with ongoing bilateral negotiations, shape trader assessments of timing and responsible actors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,688Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty. A pre-trial motions hearing is scheduled for November 17, 2026, with the trial set for June 2027. Any release would hinge on U.S. judicial outcomes, executive actions such as dismissal or clemency, or diplomatic arrangements involving the Venezuelan interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, which has already pursued prisoner amnesties and closer ties with Washington on sanctions and energy issues. Historical precedents for high-profile detainee transfers or deals, combined with ongoing bilateral negotiations, shape trader assessments of timing and responsible actors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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