Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with proceedings ongoing in federal court following a not-guilty plea. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an abduction, while the interim government has pursued an amnesty process for domestic political prisoners. Key upcoming developments include scheduled court appearances and potential bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities that could influence detention status before any resolution deadline. Trader assessments reflect the procedural timeline of U.S. federal cases and the limited leverage available to Caracas in securing early release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,625,538 Vol.
31 gen 2026
31 dicembre
15%
$2,625,538 Vol.
31 dicembre
$230,089 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with proceedings ongoing in federal court following a not-guilty plea. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an abduction, while the interim government has pursued an amnesty process for domestic political prisoners. Key upcoming developments include scheduled court appearances and potential bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities that could influence detention status before any resolution deadline. Trader assessments reflect the procedural timeline of U.S. federal cases and the limited leverage available to Caracas in securing early release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,625,538Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with proceedings ongoing in federal court following a not-guilty plea. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an abduction, while the interim government has pursued an amnesty process for domestic political prisoners. Key upcoming developments include scheduled court appearances and potential bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities that could influence detention status before any resolution deadline. Trader assessments reflect the procedural timeline of U.S. federal cases and the limited leverage available to Caracas in securing early release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,625,538Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in New York since his capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with proceedings ongoing in federal court following a not-guilty plea. Venezuela’s acting leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an abduction, while the interim government has pursued an amnesty process for domestic political prisoners. Key upcoming developments include scheduled court appearances and potential bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities that could influence detention status before any resolution deadline. Trader assessments reflect the procedural timeline of U.S. federal cases and the limited leverage available to Caracas in securing early release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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