The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoColin Sutton 72%
Matthew Taylor 16.4%
Beth Jones 10%
Martin Schmierer 6.7%
$18,445 Vol.
$18,445 Vol.
Colin Sutton
72%
Matthew Taylor
9%
Beth Jones
10%
Martin Schmierer
7%
Marcus Howard Pearcey
1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton
1%
Christopher John Brown
<1%
Colin Sutton 72%
Matthew Taylor 16.4%
Beth Jones 10%
Martin Schmierer 6.7%
$18,445 Vol.
$18,445 Vol.
Colin Sutton
72%
Matthew Taylor
9%
Beth Jones
10%
Martin Schmierer
7%
Marcus Howard Pearcey
1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton
1%
Christopher John Brown
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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