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icon for Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?
Politica·Leadership Laburista Nel Regno Unito

Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?

icon for Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?
Politica·Leadership Laburista Nel Regno Unito

Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?

NUOVO

$21,493 Vol.

30 giu 2026
Polymarket

$21,493 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$1,862 Vol.

1%

July 17

$11,627 Vol.

55%

July 31

$8,004 Vol.

88%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Starmer announced his resignation as Labour leader and prime minister on 22 June 2026 amid internal party pressure and persistently low approval ratings.** He will remain as caretaker PM until a successor is chosen through an accelerated leadership contest, with nominations opening 9 July, hustings concluding by 16 July, and a new leader expected before Parliament returns in early September. This timeline, triggered by Labour’s recent electoral setbacks and dissatisfaction among MPs, sets the primary window for his formal departure from office. Traders are assessing the speed of the transition process and any potential delays from party procedures or candidate challenges, against the backdrop of historical patterns for UK leadership handovers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,493
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Starmer announced his resignation as Labour leader and prime minister on 22 June 2026 amid internal party pressure and persistently low approval ratings.** He will remain as caretaker PM until a successor is chosen through an accelerated leadership contest, with nominations opening 9 July, hustings concluding by 16 July, and a new leader expected before Parliament returns in early September. This timeline, triggered by Labour’s recent electoral setbacks and dissatisfaction among MPs, sets the primary window for his formal departure from office. Traders are assessing the speed of the transition process and any potential delays from party procedures or candidate challenges, against the backdrop of historical patterns for UK leadership handovers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,493
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "July 31" a 88%, seguito da "July 17" a 55%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?" ha generato $21.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?" è "July 31" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "July 17" a 55%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Starmer lascia ufficialmente l'ufficio entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.