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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Politica·Inghilterra

Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?

Andy Burnham 46.6%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 27%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 6%

Polymarket

$7,052,704 Vol.

Andy Burnham 46.6%

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 27%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 6%

Polymarket

$7,052,704 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$547,073 Vol.

47%

icon for Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026

$354,364 Vol.

27%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$460,370 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$269,465 Vol.

6%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$310,645 Vol.

5%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$204,011 Vol.

2%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$290,395 Vol.

1%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$802,228 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$279,885 Vol.

1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$314,462 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$291,033 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$447,422 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$32,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$192,317 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$255,149 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$351,466 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$132,719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$640,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$372,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$295,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$208,957 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments within the Labour Party have elevated Andy Burnham as the leading contender to become the next UK prime minister in 2026. Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces intensifying internal pressure following poor electoral results, union dissatisfaction, and cabinet resignations including that of Health Secretary Wes Streeting. Greater Manchester Mayor Burnham has advanced plans to re-enter Parliament via a by-election, positioning him to challenge for the leadership ahead of the party conference. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, cleared on tax matters, remains a notable alternative but trails in trader assessments. The market's substantial share for no leadership change reflects uncertainty over the timing and outcome of any contest, with historical precedents showing leadership transitions can shift rapidly amid polling and factional dynamics.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,052,704
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments within the Labour Party have elevated Andy Burnham as the leading contender to become the next UK prime minister in 2026. Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces intensifying internal pressure following poor electoral results, union dissatisfaction, and cabinet resignations including that of Health Secretary Wes Streeting. Greater Manchester Mayor Burnham has advanced plans to re-enter Parliament via a by-election, positioning him to challenge for the leadership ahead of the party conference. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, cleared on tax matters, remains a notable alternative but trails in trader assessments. The market's substantial share for no leadership change reflects uncertainty over the timing and outcome of any contest, with historical precedents showing leadership transitions can shift rapidly amid polling and factional dynamics.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,052,704
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andy Burnham" a 47%, seguito da "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 47¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" ha generato $7.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" è "Andy Burnham" a 47%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.