Skip to main content
icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

NUOVO
17 lug 2026
Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Polymarket

July 17

$1 Vol.

46%

July 31

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vučić officially leaves office by…?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "July 31" a 48%, seguito da "July 17" a 46%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vučić officially leaves office by…?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 29, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vučić officially leaves office by…?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" è "July 31" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "July 17" a 46%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.