Keir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMr. Speaker 20+ times
50%
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
50%
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
50%
Thank 10+ times
50%
NHS 3+ times
50%
Crime / Criminal
50%
Hate / Hatred
50%
Violent / Violence
50%
Urgent
50%
Defense
50%
Scotland
50%
Northern Ireland
50%
Constituent / Constituency
50%
Shadow
50%
Europe
50%
United States
50%
Trump
50%
Record Funding
50%
Record Investment
50%
Condolences
50%
Poverty
50%
Waiting List
50%
Russia / Ukraine
50%
Victim
50%
World Cup
50%
Labour
50%
Public
50%
Social Media
50%
Ban
50%
-No Qualifying Event-
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Mr. Speaker 20+ times
50%
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
50%
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
50%
Thank 10+ times
50%
NHS 3+ times
50%
Crime / Criminal
50%
Hate / Hatred
50%
Violent / Violence
50%
Urgent
50%
Defense
50%
Scotland
50%
Northern Ireland
50%
Constituent / Constituency
50%
Shadow
50%
Europe
50%
United States
50%
Trump
50%
Record Funding
50%
Record Investment
50%
Condolences
50%
Poverty
50%
Waiting List
50%
Russia / Ukraine
50%
Victim
50%
World Cup
50%
Labour
50%
Public
50%
Social Media
50%
Ban
50%
-No Qualifying Event-
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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