Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSindaco di New York # posts 19 maggio - 26 maggio 2026?
Sindaco di New York # posts 19 maggio - 26 maggio 2026?
20-39 82.5%
<20 11%
40-59 1.4%
60-79 <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 mag 2026
<20
11%
20-39
83%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 82.5%
<20 11%
40-59 1.4%
60-79 <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 mag 2026
<20
$36 Vol.
11%
20-39
$50 Vol.
83%
40-59
$138 Vol.
1%
60-79
$30 Vol.
1%
80-99
$50 Vol.
1%
100-119
$169 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$154 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$154 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$159 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$164 Vol.
<1%
200+
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,357Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/NYCMayorThis market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,357Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/NYCMayorMayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti