Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area and consistent “Safe Democratic” or “Solid Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Boyle’s long tenure since 2015, primary dominance, and the limited profile of Republican challenger Jessica Arriaga have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. The seat’s structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts since the May primaries have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health event affecting Boyle, or unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts would require extraordinary developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
PA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$6,352 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$29,308 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area and consistent “Safe Democratic” or “Solid Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Boyle’s long tenure since 2015, primary dominance, and the limited profile of Republican challenger Jessica Arriaga have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. The seat’s structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts since the May primaries have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health event affecting Boyle, or unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts would require extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$35,660Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area and consistent “Safe Democratic” or “Solid Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Boyle’s long tenure since 2015, primary dominance, and the limited profile of Republican challenger Jessica Arriaga have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. The seat’s structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts since the May primaries have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health event affecting Boyle, or unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts would require extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,660Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area and consistent “Safe Democratic” or “Solid Democratic” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Boyle’s long tenure since 2015, primary dominance, and the limited profile of Republican challenger Jessica Arriaga have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. The seat’s structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts since the May primaries have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health event affecting Boyle, or unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts would require extraordinary developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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