Republican incumbent John Joyce holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s established partisan composition, Joyce’s incumbency and prior electoral performance, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican underpin this consensus. Democratic nominee Beth Farnham faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include substantial shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign finance advantages for the challenger, or significant local turnout changes that deviate from historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-13 House Election Winner
PA-13 House Election Winner
$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$15,316 Vol.
$15,316 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$9,886 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,430 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Joyce holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s established partisan composition, Joyce’s incumbency and prior electoral performance, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican underpin this consensus. Democratic nominee Beth Farnham faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include substantial shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign finance advantages for the challenger, or significant local turnout changes that deviate from historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,316Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Joyce holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s established partisan composition, Joyce’s incumbency and prior electoral performance, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican underpin this consensus. Democratic nominee Beth Farnham faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include substantial shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign finance advantages for the challenger, or significant local turnout changes that deviate from historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,316Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Joyce holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. The district’s established partisan composition, Joyce’s incumbency and prior electoral performance, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican underpin this consensus. Democratic nominee Beth Farnham faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would include substantial shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign finance advantages for the challenger, or significant local turnout changes that deviate from historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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