Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challengers decisively and advancing unopposed to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, who won a contested primary with 59% of the vote. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects the district's strong Republican lean—historically rated Solid R by forecasters—with Ezell's prior landslide victories in 2022 and 2024 amid low Democratic turnout in this southeastern Mississippi Gulf Coast seat. No recent polling or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national midterm dynamics or late-campaign shifts could influence the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-04
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-04
$23,730 Vol.
$23,730 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
86%
Partito Democratico
6%
$23,730 Vol.
$23,730 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$9,428 Vol.
86%
Partito Democratico
$14,301 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challengers decisively and advancing unopposed to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, who won a contested primary with 59% of the vote. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects the district's strong Republican lean—historically rated Solid R by forecasters—with Ezell's prior landslide victories in 2022 and 2024 amid low Democratic turnout in this southeastern Mississippi Gulf Coast seat. No recent polling or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national midterm dynamics or late-campaign shifts could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challengers decisively and advancing unopposed to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, who won a contested primary with 59% of the vote. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects the district's strong Republican lean—historically rated Solid R by forecasters—with Ezell's prior landslide victories in 2022 and 2024 amid low Democratic turnout in this southeastern Mississippi Gulf Coast seat. No recent polling or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national midterm dynamics or late-campaign shifts could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District primary on March 10, 2026, defeating challengers decisively and advancing unopposed to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, who won a contested primary with 59% of the vote. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects the district's strong Republican lean—historically rated Solid R by forecasters—with Ezell's prior landslide victories in 2022 and 2024 amid low Democratic turnout in this southeastern Mississippi Gulf Coast seat. No recent polling or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, though national midterm dynamics or late-campaign shifts could influence the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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