Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-11
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-11
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$49,052 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$22,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$71,074Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$71,074Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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