Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Bill Lee reaches the end of his second consecutive term. The August 6 Republican primary pits U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, while Democrats field a comparatively low-profile slate including Carnita Atwater and Jerri Green. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's long-standing partisan lean and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points. Traders price the Republican nominee as a strong favorite because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and statewide performance have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late primary upset, significant nominee scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for a Democratic general-election victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican
$4,124 Vol.
91%
Democrat
$2,128 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Bill Lee reaches the end of his second consecutive term. The August 6 Republican primary pits U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, while Democrats field a comparatively low-profile slate including Carnita Atwater and Jerri Green. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's long-standing partisan lean and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points. Traders price the Republican nominee as a strong favorite because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and statewide performance have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late primary upset, significant nominee scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for a Democratic general-election victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$6,252Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Bill Lee reaches the end of his second consecutive term. The August 6 Republican primary pits U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, while Democrats field a comparatively low-profile slate including Carnita Atwater and Jerri Green. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's long-standing partisan lean and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points. Traders price the Republican nominee as a strong favorite because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and statewide performance have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late primary upset, significant nominee scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for a Democratic general-election victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,252Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Bill Lee reaches the end of his second consecutive term. The August 6 Republican primary pits U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn against U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, while Democrats field a comparatively low-profile slate including Carnita Atwater and Jerri Green. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's long-standing partisan lean and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points. Traders price the Republican nominee as a strong favorite because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and statewide performance have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late primary upset, significant nominee scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited realistic pathways for a Democratic general-election victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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