Moonshot AI holds the strongest trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October, driven by its rapid July 2026 Kimi K3 release—a 2.8-trillion-parameter model with advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting hundreds of sub-agents—and leadership on several September 2026 agentic benchmarks such as AA Harvey LAB. This momentum follows a valuation surge to $50 billion and open-weight coding variants that narrowed gaps with U.S. frontier labs on tasks like OSWorld and long-horizon workflows. The field remains tightly contested, with SpaceXAI, Z.ai, Google, and OpenAI clustered lower amid ongoing releases from Anthropic’s Claude family and Alibaba’s Qwen series; any late-September benchmark shifts, new model launches, or capability demonstrations could quickly reprice the multi-outcome market before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTerzo miglior AI Agent Lab alla fine di ottobre?
Terzo miglior AI Agent Lab alla fine di ottobre?
Moonshot 42%
SpaceXAI 12.6%
Z.ai 11.2%
Google 7.3%
$22,495 Vol.
$22,495 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Moonshot
42%
SpaceXAI
13%
Z.ai
11%
7%
OpenAI
6%
Xiaomi
5%
Alibaba
5%
DeepSeek
4%
Microsoft
4%
Anthropic
4%
ByteDance
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Moonshot 42%
SpaceXAI 12.6%
Z.ai 11.2%
Google 7.3%
$22,495 Vol.
$22,495 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Moonshot
$9,944 Vol.
42%
SpaceXAI
$2,284 Vol.
13%
Z.ai
$454 Vol.
11%
$295 Vol.
7%
OpenAI
$5,002 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
Alibaba
$659 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$337 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$252 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$1,019 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$473 Vol.
1%
Meta
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$224 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$184 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$224 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$201 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$229 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$224 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI holds the strongest trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October, driven by its rapid July 2026 Kimi K3 release—a 2.8-trillion-parameter model with advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting hundreds of sub-agents—and leadership on several September 2026 agentic benchmarks such as AA Harvey LAB. This momentum follows a valuation surge to $50 billion and open-weight coding variants that narrowed gaps with U.S. frontier labs on tasks like OSWorld and long-horizon workflows. The field remains tightly contested, with SpaceXAI, Z.ai, Google, and OpenAI clustered lower amid ongoing releases from Anthropic’s Claude family and Alibaba’s Qwen series; any late-September benchmark shifts, new model launches, or capability demonstrations could quickly reprice the multi-outcome market before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,495Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI holds the strongest trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October, driven by its rapid July 2026 Kimi K3 release—a 2.8-trillion-parameter model with advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting hundreds of sub-agents—and leadership on several September 2026 agentic benchmarks such as AA Harvey LAB. This momentum follows a valuation surge to $50 billion and open-weight coding variants that narrowed gaps with U.S. frontier labs on tasks like OSWorld and long-horizon workflows. The field remains tightly contested, with SpaceXAI, Z.ai, Google, and OpenAI clustered lower amid ongoing releases from Anthropic’s Claude family and Alibaba’s Qwen series; any late-September benchmark shifts, new model launches, or capability demonstrations could quickly reprice the multi-outcome market before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$22,495Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI holds the strongest trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for third-best AI agent lab by end-October, driven by its rapid July 2026 Kimi K3 release—a 2.8-trillion-parameter model with advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting hundreds of sub-agents—and leadership on several September 2026 agentic benchmarks such as AA Harvey LAB. This momentum follows a valuation surge to $50 billion and open-weight coding variants that narrowed gaps with U.S. frontier labs on tasks like OSWorld and long-horizon workflows. The field remains tightly contested, with SpaceXAI, Z.ai, Google, and OpenAI clustered lower amid ongoing releases from Anthropic’s Claude family and Alibaba’s Qwen series; any late-September benchmark shifts, new model launches, or capability demonstrations could quickly reprice the multi-outcome market before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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