Recent statements from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and senior AK Party officials in mid-May 2026 have reaffirmed the need for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing proposals for briefing the president. Yet trader consensus heavily favors delay because advancing the measure requires either 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 votes for direct passage—thresholds that remain distant amid opposition resistance from the CHP and other parties. Preparatory efforts continue alongside parallel initiatives such as PKK-related reforms, but historical patterns show repeated postponements when broad consensus proves elusive. Scheduled legislative priorities and the polarized environment further reduce the near-term likelihood of formal movement within 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 dic 2026
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31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and senior AK Party officials in mid-May 2026 have reaffirmed the need for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing proposals for briefing the president. Yet trader consensus heavily favors delay because advancing the measure requires either 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 votes for direct passage—thresholds that remain distant amid opposition resistance from the CHP and other parties. Preparatory efforts continue alongside parallel initiatives such as PKK-related reforms, but historical patterns show repeated postponements when broad consensus proves elusive. Scheduled legislative priorities and the polarized environment further reduce the near-term likelihood of formal movement within 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,631Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and senior AK Party officials in mid-May 2026 have reaffirmed the need for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing proposals for briefing the president. Yet trader consensus heavily favors delay because advancing the measure requires either 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 votes for direct passage—thresholds that remain distant amid opposition resistance from the CHP and other parties. Preparatory efforts continue alongside parallel initiatives such as PKK-related reforms, but historical patterns show repeated postponements when broad consensus proves elusive. Scheduled legislative priorities and the polarized environment further reduce the near-term likelihood of formal movement within 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,631Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and senior AK Party officials in mid-May 2026 have reaffirmed the need for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing proposals for briefing the president. Yet trader consensus heavily favors delay because advancing the measure requires either 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 votes for direct passage—thresholds that remain distant amid opposition resistance from the CHP and other parties. Preparatory efforts continue alongside parallel initiatives such as PKK-related reforms, but historical patterns show repeated postponements when broad consensus proves elusive. Scheduled legislative priorities and the polarized environment further reduce the near-term likelihood of formal movement within 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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