Redistricting consolidated much of the former 9th Congressional District into the 18th, forcing a direct matchup between two sitting Houston Democrats after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. Christian Menefee, who won the special election for the seat in January, holds a clear polling edge in the May 26 runoff, recently leading Al Green by seven points among likely voters according to the University of Houston Hobby School survey. Menefee has also maintained a substantial fundraising advantage, raising over twice as much as Green in the first quarter. These factors, combined with the compressed timeline before the runoff, have solidified trader consensus around Menefee while leaving limited room for late shifts absent major unforeseen developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoChristian Menefee 89.8%
Al Green 10.5%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 Vol.
$27,959 Vol.
Christian Menefee
90%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.8%
Al Green 10.5%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 Vol.
$27,959 Vol.
Christian Menefee
90%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting consolidated much of the former 9th Congressional District into the 18th, forcing a direct matchup between two sitting Houston Democrats after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. Christian Menefee, who won the special election for the seat in January, holds a clear polling edge in the May 26 runoff, recently leading Al Green by seven points among likely voters according to the University of Houston Hobby School survey. Menefee has also maintained a substantial fundraising advantage, raising over twice as much as Green in the first quarter. These factors, combined with the compressed timeline before the runoff, have solidified trader consensus around Menefee while leaving limited room for late shifts absent major unforeseen developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti