Traders assign a 97.2% probability against a coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30 due to the absence of reported fractures in military command structures or senior political defections challenging President Zelensky's authority. Ukraine continues operating under wartime governance, with the executive maintaining control over armed forces amid active hostilities with Russia and receiving sustained diplomatic and material support from Western partners. No recent legislative moves, public statements from opposition figures, or institutional signals have indicated organized challenges to the current leadership within the resolution window. While significant battlefield setbacks, internal policy disputes, or external diplomatic shifts could still introduce instability, verifiable developments through mid-May show no such catalysts emerging to alter the prevailing assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97.2% probability against a coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30 due to the absence of reported fractures in military command structures or senior political defections challenging President Zelensky's authority. Ukraine continues operating under wartime governance, with the executive maintaining control over armed forces amid active hostilities with Russia and receiving sustained diplomatic and material support from Western partners. No recent legislative moves, public statements from opposition figures, or institutional signals have indicated organized challenges to the current leadership within the resolution window. While significant battlefield setbacks, internal policy disputes, or external diplomatic shifts could still introduce instability, verifiable developments through mid-May show no such catalysts emerging to alter the prevailing assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,266Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97.2% probability against a coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30 due to the absence of reported fractures in military command structures or senior political defections challenging President Zelensky's authority. Ukraine continues operating under wartime governance, with the executive maintaining control over armed forces amid active hostilities with Russia and receiving sustained diplomatic and material support from Western partners. No recent legislative moves, public statements from opposition figures, or institutional signals have indicated organized challenges to the current leadership within the resolution window. While significant battlefield setbacks, internal policy disputes, or external diplomatic shifts could still introduce instability, verifiable developments through mid-May show no such catalysts emerging to alter the prevailing assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,266Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.2% probability against a coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30 due to the absence of reported fractures in military command structures or senior political defections challenging President Zelensky's authority. Ukraine continues operating under wartime governance, with the executive maintaining control over armed forces amid active hostilities with Russia and receiving sustained diplomatic and material support from Western partners. No recent legislative moves, public statements from opposition figures, or institutional signals have indicated organized challenges to the current leadership within the resolution window. While significant battlefield setbacks, internal policy disputes, or external diplomatic shifts could still introduce instability, verifiable developments through mid-May show no such catalysts emerging to alter the prevailing assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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