Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in Virginia’s Class II seat on November 3, 2026, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ/The Hill, and Inside Elections classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Warner’s established fundraising edge, consistent polling leads, and Virginia’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. The Republican primary outcome and absence of stronger challengers have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts remain tied to late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political swings that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$14,427 Vol.
$14,427 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$14,427 Vol.
$14,427 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$8,722 Vol.
94%
Republican
$5,706 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in Virginia’s Class II seat on November 3, 2026, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ/The Hill, and Inside Elections classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Warner’s established fundraising edge, consistent polling leads, and Virginia’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. The Republican primary outcome and absence of stronger challengers have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts remain tied to late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political swings that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,427Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in Virginia’s Class II seat on November 3, 2026, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ/The Hill, and Inside Elections classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Warner’s established fundraising edge, consistent polling leads, and Virginia’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. The Republican primary outcome and absence of stronger challengers have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts remain tied to late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political swings that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,427Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner seeks a fourth term in Virginia’s Class II seat on November 3, 2026, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ/The Hill, and Inside Elections classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Warner’s established fundraising edge, consistent polling leads, and Virginia’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. The Republican primary outcome and absence of stronger challengers have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts remain tied to late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political swings that could alter turnout or voter sentiment in this battleground state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti