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Politica·Primarie

Vincitori primari WA-09

icon for Vincitori primari WA-09
Politica·Primarie

Vincitori primari WA-09

NUOVO
4 ago 2026
Polymarket

$353 Vol.

Polymarket

Adam Smith

$84 Vol.

88%

Doug Basler

$163 Vol.

66%

Kshama Sawant

$5 Vol.

32%

Melissa Chaudhry

$32 Vol.

12%

Jacob Perasso

$69 Vol.

6%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with all candidates appearing on one ballot. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith faces two Democratic challengers, an Independent former Seattle councilmember, and minor-party opponents in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The top two vote-getters advance to the November general election, making the contest primarily about which candidates consolidate support among Democratic and progressive voters versus any Republican or independent crossover. No major candidate withdrawals or last-minute endorsements have altered the field in recent weeks, leaving voter turnout among core Democratic constituencies and any late polling shifts as the main variables that could determine the pair advancing.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$353
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with all candidates appearing on one ballot. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith faces two Democratic challengers, an Independent former Seattle councilmember, and minor-party opponents in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The top two vote-getters advance to the November general election, making the contest primarily about which candidates consolidate support among Democratic and progressive voters versus any Republican or independent crossover. No major candidate withdrawals or last-minute endorsements have altered the field in recent weeks, leaving voter turnout among core Democratic constituencies and any late polling shifts as the main variables that could determine the pair advancing.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$353
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitori primari WA-09" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Adam Smith" a 88%, seguito da "Doug Basler" a 66%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitori primari WA-09" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 20, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitori primari WA-09", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitori primari WA-09" è "Adam Smith" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Doug Basler" a 66%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitori primari WA-09" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.