Anthropic's strong position at 65% implied probability stems from Claude's documented edge in agentic workflows, including autonomous coding via Claude Code, extended task horizons exceeding several hours, and multi-agent systems that decompose complex research or engineering goals. Recent engineering updates show Claude handling longer autonomous sessions with fewer interventions, strong SWE-bench performance, and tool-use protocols like the Model Context Protocol that enable reliable integration across developer environments. OpenAI trails at 17.5% despite competitive SDKs and reasoning models, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect narrower leads in production-ready agent autonomy or enterprise benchmarks as of mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's consistent safety emphasis and benchmark gains against the risk that rapid model releases from rivals could shift the October evaluation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior agente di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?
Quale azienda ha il miglior agente di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di ottobre?
Anthropic 65%
OpenAI 8%
Moonshot 1.5%
Alibaba 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
Anthropic
65%
OpenAI
20%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
ByteDance
1%
Amazon
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 65%
OpenAI 8%
Moonshot 1.5%
Alibaba 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
Anthropic
$2,918 Vol.
65%
OpenAI
$154 Vol.
20%
Moonshot
$101 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$106 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$124 Vol.
1%
Meta
$126 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$121 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$129 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$125 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$106 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$116 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$122 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$137 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$137 Vol.
1%
$76 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$92 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$134 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong position at 65% implied probability stems from Claude's documented edge in agentic workflows, including autonomous coding via Claude Code, extended task horizons exceeding several hours, and multi-agent systems that decompose complex research or engineering goals. Recent engineering updates show Claude handling longer autonomous sessions with fewer interventions, strong SWE-bench performance, and tool-use protocols like the Model Context Protocol that enable reliable integration across developer environments. OpenAI trails at 17.5% despite competitive SDKs and reasoning models, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect narrower leads in production-ready agent autonomy or enterprise benchmarks as of mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's consistent safety emphasis and benchmark gains against the risk that rapid model releases from rivals could shift the October evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$4,956Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong position at 65% implied probability stems from Claude's documented edge in agentic workflows, including autonomous coding via Claude Code, extended task horizons exceeding several hours, and multi-agent systems that decompose complex research or engineering goals. Recent engineering updates show Claude handling longer autonomous sessions with fewer interventions, strong SWE-bench performance, and tool-use protocols like the Model Context Protocol that enable reliable integration across developer environments. OpenAI trails at 17.5% despite competitive SDKs and reasoning models, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect narrower leads in production-ready agent autonomy or enterprise benchmarks as of mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's consistent safety emphasis and benchmark gains against the risk that rapid model releases from rivals could shift the October evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$4,956Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's strong position at 65% implied probability stems from Claude's documented edge in agentic workflows, including autonomous coding via Claude Code, extended task horizons exceeding several hours, and multi-agent systems that decompose complex research or engineering goals. Recent engineering updates show Claude handling longer autonomous sessions with fewer interventions, strong SWE-bench performance, and tool-use protocols like the Model Context Protocol that enable reliable integration across developer environments. OpenAI trails at 17.5% despite competitive SDKs and reasoning models, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others reflect narrower leads in production-ready agent autonomy or enterprise benchmarks as of mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's consistent safety emphasis and benchmark gains against the risk that rapid model releases from rivals could shift the October evaluation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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