Traders have overwhelmingly backed Anthropic to hold the strongest AI model by the end of May, reflected in its 94% implied probability. This positioning stems from the company's recent large language model releases that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks, safety alignment, and real-world developer usage relative to rivals. Google and OpenAI trail far behind at 3.5% and 1.0%, respectively, as their latest updates have not yet produced comparable capability jumps in independent evaluations. The short timeframe to resolution leaves little room for major reversals, though any surprise model launch or benchmark breakthrough from competitors could still narrow the gap before the market settles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di maggio?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di maggio?
Anthropic 95%
Google 3.6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,130,638 Vol.
$9,130,638 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Anthropic
95%
4%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 95%
Google 3.6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,130,638 Vol.
$9,130,638 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Anthropic
$712,357 Vol.
95%
$643,409 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$786,925 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$571,669 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$545,026 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$597,258 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$681,173 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,490 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,883 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$471,347 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have overwhelmingly backed Anthropic to hold the strongest AI model by the end of May, reflected in its 94% implied probability. This positioning stems from the company's recent large language model releases that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks, safety alignment, and real-world developer usage relative to rivals. Google and OpenAI trail far behind at 3.5% and 1.0%, respectively, as their latest updates have not yet produced comparable capability jumps in independent evaluations. The short timeframe to resolution leaves little room for major reversals, though any surprise model launch or benchmark breakthrough from competitors could still narrow the gap before the market settles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,130,638Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have overwhelmingly backed Anthropic to hold the strongest AI model by the end of May, reflected in its 94% implied probability. This positioning stems from the company's recent large language model releases that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks, safety alignment, and real-world developer usage relative to rivals. Google and OpenAI trail far behind at 3.5% and 1.0%, respectively, as their latest updates have not yet produced comparable capability jumps in independent evaluations. The short timeframe to resolution leaves little room for major reversals, though any surprise model launch or benchmark breakthrough from competitors could still narrow the gap before the market settles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$9,130,638Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly backed Anthropic to hold the strongest AI model by the end of May, reflected in its 94% implied probability. This positioning stems from the company's recent large language model releases that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks, safety alignment, and real-world developer usage relative to rivals. Google and OpenAI trail far behind at 3.5% and 1.0%, respectively, as their latest updates have not yet produced comparable capability jumps in independent evaluations. The short timeframe to resolution leaves little room for major reversals, though any surprise model launch or benchmark breakthrough from competitors could still narrow the gap before the market settles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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