Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the LiveBench overall leaderboard at 83.0%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 81.1%, which underpins the 60.5% implied probability favoring Anthropic by end of October. Traders view this lead as stemming from Anthropic's recent model refinements in reasoning and agentic tasks, giving it a durable edge in a benchmark refreshed with objective evaluations across categories. OpenAI's 32.5% reflects ongoing GPT-5 iterations and potential updates that could close the gap before resolution, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others signal limited near-term breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any major model drops or capability demonstrations through fall 2026 that could shift the live snapshot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA su LiveBench (in generale) alla fine di ottobre?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA su LiveBench (in generale) alla fine di ottobre?
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 32%
DeepSeek <1%
ByteDance <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
Anthropic
61%
OpenAI
32%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Moonshot
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Z.ai
1%
Amazon
1%
Meta
1%
1%
Baidu
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 32%
DeepSeek <1%
ByteDance <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
Anthropic
$4,647 Vol.
61%
OpenAI
$1,085 Vol.
32%
DeepSeek
$177 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$235 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$217 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$240 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$224 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$245 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$177 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$187 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$187 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$175 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$256 Vol.
1%
Meta
$224 Vol.
1%
$153 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$236 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$235 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$185 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$207 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$230 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the LiveBench overall leaderboard at 83.0%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 81.1%, which underpins the 60.5% implied probability favoring Anthropic by end of October. Traders view this lead as stemming from Anthropic's recent model refinements in reasoning and agentic tasks, giving it a durable edge in a benchmark refreshed with objective evaluations across categories. OpenAI's 32.5% reflects ongoing GPT-5 iterations and potential updates that could close the gap before resolution, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others signal limited near-term breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any major model drops or capability demonstrations through fall 2026 that could shift the live snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$9,649Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the LiveBench overall leaderboard at 83.0%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 81.1%, which underpins the 60.5% implied probability favoring Anthropic by end of October. Traders view this lead as stemming from Anthropic's recent model refinements in reasoning and agentic tasks, giving it a durable edge in a benchmark refreshed with objective evaluations across categories. OpenAI's 32.5% reflects ongoing GPT-5 iterations and potential updates that could close the gap before resolution, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others signal limited near-term breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any major model drops or capability demonstrations through fall 2026 that could shift the live snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$9,649Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the LiveBench overall leaderboard at 83.0%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 81.1%, which underpins the 60.5% implied probability favoring Anthropic by end of October. Traders view this lead as stemming from Anthropic's recent model refinements in reasoning and agentic tasks, giving it a durable edge in a benchmark refreshed with objective evaluations across categories. OpenAI's 32.5% reflects ongoing GPT-5 iterations and potential updates that could close the gap before resolution, while lower odds for Google, Meta, and others signal limited near-term breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any major model drops or capability demonstrations through fall 2026 that could shift the live snapshot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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