Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the euro trading near 1.16 amid expectations for an ECB deposit rate hike in September while the Fed holds the funds rate near 3.75%. July inflation prints showed euro-area CPI at 2.9% versus 3.4% in the US, narrowing the real-rate gap and supporting euro demand, though Middle East oil shocks have lifted both inflation trajectories and tempered aggressive easing bets. Recent US labor data weakness and resilient euro-area growth have reinforced trader views of further euro appreciation potential toward 1.18–1.20 by year-end, consistent with market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance that could alter rate-spread expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$88,909 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
9%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
29%
↑ 1,20
29%
↓ 1,12
33%
↓ 1,10
36%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
6%
$88,909 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Vol.
3%
↑ 1,35
$1,579 Vol.
3%
↑ 1,30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,22
$399 Vol.
29%
↑ 1,20
$40,984 Vol.
29%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Vol.
33%
↓ 1,10
$3,945 Vol.
36%
↓ 1,05
$6,111 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the euro trading near 1.16 amid expectations for an ECB deposit rate hike in September while the Fed holds the funds rate near 3.75%. July inflation prints showed euro-area CPI at 2.9% versus 3.4% in the US, narrowing the real-rate gap and supporting euro demand, though Middle East oil shocks have lifted both inflation trajectories and tempered aggressive easing bets. Recent US labor data weakness and resilient euro-area growth have reinforced trader views of further euro appreciation potential toward 1.18–1.20 by year-end, consistent with market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance that could alter rate-spread expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$88,909Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the euro trading near 1.16 amid expectations for an ECB deposit rate hike in September while the Fed holds the funds rate near 3.75%. July inflation prints showed euro-area CPI at 2.9% versus 3.4% in the US, narrowing the real-rate gap and supporting euro demand, though Middle East oil shocks have lifted both inflation trajectories and tempered aggressive easing bets. Recent US labor data weakness and resilient euro-area growth have reinforced trader views of further euro appreciation potential toward 1.18–1.20 by year-end, consistent with market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance that could alter rate-spread expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$88,909Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Fed remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the euro trading near 1.16 amid expectations for an ECB deposit rate hike in September while the Fed holds the funds rate near 3.75%. July inflation prints showed euro-area CPI at 2.9% versus 3.4% in the US, narrowing the real-rate gap and supporting euro demand, though Middle East oil shocks have lifted both inflation trajectories and tempered aggressive easing bets. Recent US labor data weakness and resilient euro-area growth have reinforced trader views of further euro appreciation potential toward 1.18–1.20 by year-end, consistent with market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s September decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance that could alter rate-spread expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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