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Politics·NATO

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

icon for Who will attend the NATO Summit?
Politics·NATO

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

$229,560 Vol.

8 lug 2026
Polymarket

$229,560 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$49,782 Vol.

100%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$165,657 Vol.

99%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$14,121 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$229,560
Data di fine
8 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$229,560
Data di fine
8 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Who will attend the NATO Summit?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marco Rubio" a 100%, seguito da "Donald Trump" a 99%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Who will attend the NATO Summit?" ha generato $229.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Who will attend the NATO Summit?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Who will attend the NATO Summit?" è "Marco Rubio" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Donald Trump" a 99%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Who will attend the NATO Summit?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.