Bank Indonesia's surprise 25-basis-point rate hike to 5.50% on June 9 has been the dominant near-term driver for USD/IDR, aimed at countering record rupiah weakness above 18,000 amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, elevated energy costs, and foreign portfolio outflows. The pair traded near 17,900–18,000 in mid-June after peaking above 18,200 earlier in the month, reflecting both the central bank's intervention and broader emerging-market risk sentiment tied to U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations. With only two weeks until the June 30 resolution, traders are focused on any follow-through from the off-cycle tightening, upcoming domestic inflation data, and potential shifts in global risk appetite that could push the exchange rate through key technical thresholds or trigger further Bank Indonesia support measures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill USD hit ___ Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
Will USD hit ___ Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
$13,561 Vol.
30 giu 2026
↑ 19,000
6%
↑ 18,500
26%
↓ 17,400
14%
↓ 17,000
9%
↓ 16,500
4%
↓ 16,000
2%
$13,561 Vol.
↑ 19,000
$791 Vol.
6%
↑ 18,500
$264 Vol.
26%
↓ 17,400
$805 Vol.
14%
↓ 17,000
$1,825 Vol.
9%
↓ 16,500
$531 Vol.
4%
↓ 16,000
$1,085 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD exchange rate on JISDOR is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any business day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Bank Indonesia's surprise 25-basis-point rate hike to 5.50% on June 9 has been the dominant near-term driver for USD/IDR, aimed at countering record rupiah weakness above 18,000 amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, elevated energy costs, and foreign portfolio outflows. The pair traded near 17,900–18,000 in mid-June after peaking above 18,200 earlier in the month, reflecting both the central bank's intervention and broader emerging-market risk sentiment tied to U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations. With only two weeks until the June 30 resolution, traders are focused on any follow-through from the off-cycle tightening, upcoming domestic inflation data, and potential shifts in global risk appetite that could push the exchange rate through key technical thresholds or trigger further Bank Indonesia support measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD exchange rate on JISDOR is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any business day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$13,561Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD exchange rate on JISDOR is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any business day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Bank Indonesia's surprise 25-basis-point rate hike to 5.50% on June 9 has been the dominant near-term driver for USD/IDR, aimed at countering record rupiah weakness above 18,000 amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, elevated energy costs, and foreign portfolio outflows. The pair traded near 17,900–18,000 in mid-June after peaking above 18,200 earlier in the month, reflecting both the central bank's intervention and broader emerging-market risk sentiment tied to U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations. With only two weeks until the June 30 resolution, traders are focused on any follow-through from the off-cycle tightening, upcoming domestic inflation data, and potential shifts in global risk appetite that could push the exchange rate through key technical thresholds or trigger further Bank Indonesia support measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD exchange rate on JISDOR is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any business day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the JISDOR USD/IDR reference rate published on business days by Bank Indonesia (www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/informasi-kurs/jisdor/Default.aspx), where each listed price represents the amount of Indonesian rupiah per 1 U.S. dollar based on interbank USD/IDR spot transactions in Indonesia’s domestic foreign exchange market.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been published will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bank Indonesia JISDOR (www.bi.go.id). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$13,561Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bank Indonesia's surprise 25-basis-point rate hike to 5.50% on June 9 has been the dominant near-term driver for USD/IDR, aimed at countering record rupiah weakness above 18,000 amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, elevated energy costs, and foreign portfolio outflows. The pair traded near 17,900–18,000 in mid-June after peaking above 18,200 earlier in the month, reflecting both the central bank's intervention and broader emerging-market risk sentiment tied to U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations. With only two weeks until the June 30 resolution, traders are focused on any follow-through from the off-cycle tightening, upcoming domestic inflation data, and potential shifts in global risk appetite that could push the exchange rate through key technical thresholds or trigger further Bank Indonesia support measures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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