Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in the implied probability of EUR/USD hitting key 2026 levels, shaped by persistent US-Eurozone policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% after its April 2026 meeting amid sticky US CPI inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year. The ECB maintained its deposit facility rate at 2.0% on April 30, despite Eurozone headline inflation ticking up to 3.0% in April from 2.6% prior, signaling limited near-term rate convergence. Current spot EUR/USD trades around 1.172, reflecting dollar strength from higher US yields and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include the Fed's June 16-17 FOMC and ECB's July 22 policy decisions, alongside May PMI releases that could sway rate cut expectations and break technical ranges near 1.16-1.18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$73,473 Vol.
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
11%
↑ 1,30
30%
↑ 1,26
28%
↑ 1,24
55%
↑ 1,22
53%
↑ 1,20
71%
↓ 1,14
59%
↓ 1,12
39%
↓ 1,10
19%
↓ 1,05
10%
↓ 1,00
5%
$73,473 Vol.
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
11%
↑ 1,30
30%
↑ 1,26
28%
↑ 1,24
55%
↑ 1,22
53%
↑ 1,20
71%
↓ 1,14
59%
↓ 1,12
39%
↓ 1,10
19%
↓ 1,05
10%
↓ 1,00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in the implied probability of EUR/USD hitting key 2026 levels, shaped by persistent US-Eurozone policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% after its April 2026 meeting amid sticky US CPI inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year. The ECB maintained its deposit facility rate at 2.0% on April 30, despite Eurozone headline inflation ticking up to 3.0% in April from 2.6% prior, signaling limited near-term rate convergence. Current spot EUR/USD trades around 1.172, reflecting dollar strength from higher US yields and robust labor data. Key catalysts ahead include the Fed's June 16-17 FOMC and ECB's July 22 policy decisions, alongside May PMI releases that could sway rate cut expectations and break technical ranges near 1.16-1.18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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