Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent continues to drive elevated peso depreciation under Argentina’s crawling exchange-rate band, which widens monthly in line with lagged CPI. With the official rate currently near 1,395 ARS per USD, central-bank reserve accumulation ahead of roughly $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities reinforces trader expectations for continued nominal weakening. Market-implied odds now place the heaviest weight on the 1,600-plus bracket at 44.5 percent, reflecting consensus forecasts of 30–33 percent full-year inflation. Recent fiscal improvements and a Fitch upgrade to B- have tempered downside risk, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate sustains pressure for further adjustment through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1600.00+ 44%
1400.00–1449.99 19.1%
1550.00–1599.99 19.0%
1500.00–1549.99 17.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
5%
1300.00–1349.99
5%
1350.00–1399.99
12%
1400.00–1449.99
11%
1450.00–1499.99
3%
1500.00–1549.99
22%
1550.00–1599.99
26%
1600.00+
44%
1600.00+ 44%
1400.00–1449.99 19.1%
1550.00–1599.99 19.0%
1500.00–1549.99 17.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<1250.00
$419 Vol.
2%
1250.00–1299.99
$577 Vol.
5%
1300.00–1349.99
$504 Vol.
5%
1350.00–1399.99
$578 Vol.
12%
1400.00–1449.99
$853 Vol.
11%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,026 Vol.
3%
1500.00–1549.99
$827 Vol.
22%
1550.00–1599.99
$551 Vol.
26%
1600.00+
$1,623 Vol.
44%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent continues to drive elevated peso depreciation under Argentina’s crawling exchange-rate band, which widens monthly in line with lagged CPI. With the official rate currently near 1,395 ARS per USD, central-bank reserve accumulation ahead of roughly $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities reinforces trader expectations for continued nominal weakening. Market-implied odds now place the heaviest weight on the 1,600-plus bracket at 44.5 percent, reflecting consensus forecasts of 30–33 percent full-year inflation. Recent fiscal improvements and a Fitch upgrade to B- have tempered downside risk, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate sustains pressure for further adjustment through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$6,959Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent continues to drive elevated peso depreciation under Argentina’s crawling exchange-rate band, which widens monthly in line with lagged CPI. With the official rate currently near 1,395 ARS per USD, central-bank reserve accumulation ahead of roughly $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities reinforces trader expectations for continued nominal weakening. Market-implied odds now place the heaviest weight on the 1,600-plus bracket at 44.5 percent, reflecting consensus forecasts of 30–33 percent full-year inflation. Recent fiscal improvements and a Fitch upgrade to B- have tempered downside risk, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate sustains pressure for further adjustment through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,959Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent continues to drive elevated peso depreciation under Argentina’s crawling exchange-rate band, which widens monthly in line with lagged CPI. With the official rate currently near 1,395 ARS per USD, central-bank reserve accumulation ahead of roughly $20 billion in 2026 debt maturities reinforces trader expectations for continued nominal weakening. Market-implied odds now place the heaviest weight on the 1,600-plus bracket at 44.5 percent, reflecting consensus forecasts of 30–33 percent full-year inflation. Recent fiscal improvements and a Fitch upgrade to B- have tempered downside risk, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate sustains pressure for further adjustment through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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