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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 Vol.

2027/04/17
Polymarket

$148,326 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Vol.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 Vol.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 Vol.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 Vol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 Vol.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Vol.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 Vol.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Vol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 Vol.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 Vol.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 Vol.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 Vol.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Vol.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 Vol.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 Vol.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 Vol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 Vol.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 Vol.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 Vol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Vol.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Vol.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Vol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Vol.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Vol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Vol.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 Vol.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Vol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Vol.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Vol.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 Vol.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$148,326
終了日
2027/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$148,326
終了日
2027/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で96%、次いで「Édouard Philippe」が85%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」は$148.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Édouard Philippe」で85%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。