Trader sentiment on the original 2021 Pokémon Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection leans toward a price decline by August 31, with “Down” holding a 64.5% implied probability. Recent eBay sales and PriceCharting data show sealed boxes trading in the $1,125–$1,275 range after earlier summer peaks above $1,300. The July 2026 reveal of the new 30th Celebration Ultra Premium Collections, set for a November 6 launch at roughly $180 MSRP, has redirected collector attention and capital toward fresh anniversary product. This has triggered short-term profit-taking on legacy inventory. Historical patterns in Pokémon TCG sealed goods show similar cooling phases ahead of major releases, as hype reallocates and supply expectations stabilize. Late-August sales volume and chart updates remain the key swing factors before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のお祝いウルトラプレミアムコレクションの値上げ/値下げ？
8月31日のお祝いウルトラプレミアムコレクションの値上げ/値下げ？
上がる
37% 確率
新規
新規
2026/08/31
上がる
37% 確率
新規
新規
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Trader sentiment on the original 2021 Pokémon Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection leans toward a price decline by August 31, with “Down” holding a 64.5% implied probability. Recent eBay sales and PriceCharting data show sealed boxes trading in the $1,125–$1,275 range after earlier summer peaks above $1,300. The July 2026 reveal of the new 30th Celebration Ultra Premium Collections, set for a November 6 launch at roughly $180 MSRP, has redirected collector attention and capital toward fresh anniversary product. This has triggered short-term profit-taking on legacy inventory. Historical patterns in Pokémon TCG sealed goods show similar cooling phases ahead of major releases, as hype reallocates and supply expectations stabilize. Late-August sales volume and chart updates remain the key swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
音量
$1,464終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Trader sentiment on the original 2021 Pokémon Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection leans toward a price decline by August 31, with “Down” holding a 64.5% implied probability. Recent eBay sales and PriceCharting data show sealed boxes trading in the $1,125–$1,275 range after earlier summer peaks above $1,300. The July 2026 reveal of the new 30th Celebration Ultra Premium Collections, set for a November 6 launch at roughly $180 MSRP, has redirected collector attention and capital toward fresh anniversary product. This has triggered short-term profit-taking on legacy inventory. Historical patterns in Pokémon TCG sealed goods show similar cooling phases ahead of major releases, as hype reallocates and supply expectations stabilize. Late-August sales volume and chart updates remain the key swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,277.63.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,277.63.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
音量
$1,464終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on the original 2021 Pokémon Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection leans toward a price decline by August 31, with “Down” holding a 64.5% implied probability. Recent eBay sales and PriceCharting data show sealed boxes trading in the $1,125–$1,275 range after earlier summer peaks above $1,300. The July 2026 reveal of the new 30th Celebration Ultra Premium Collections, set for a November 6 launch at roughly $180 MSRP, has redirected collector attention and capital toward fresh anniversary product. This has triggered short-term profit-taking on legacy inventory. Historical patterns in Pokémon TCG sealed goods show similar cooling phases ahead of major releases, as hype reallocates and supply expectations stabilize. Late-August sales volume and chart updates remain the key swing factors before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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