Recent softening in the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has left raw copies trading in the mid-to-high $30s after earlier peaks near $45–50, creating a narrow window for an “up” resolution above the $38.92 threshold on Collectr by August 31. Trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability reflects broader Pokémon TCG resilience—up nearly 3% over the past month—alongside anticipation for the August 28 Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin release, which could lift demand for related illustration rares and first-partner promos. Daily sales velocity on TCGPlayer and eBay, plus any late-month collector buying, will determine whether the card stabilizes or drifts lower amid ongoing post-hype correction across the set.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のCharmanderの値上げ/値下げ？
8月31日のCharmanderの値上げ/値下げ？
Up
65% 確率
新規
新規
2026/08/31
Up
65% 確率
新規
新規
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent softening in the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has left raw copies trading in the mid-to-high $30s after earlier peaks near $45–50, creating a narrow window for an “up” resolution above the $38.92 threshold on Collectr by August 31. Trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability reflects broader Pokémon TCG resilience—up nearly 3% over the past month—alongside anticipation for the August 28 Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin release, which could lift demand for related illustration rares and first-partner promos. Daily sales velocity on TCGPlayer and eBay, plus any late-month collector buying, will determine whether the card stabilizes or drifts lower amid ongoing post-hype correction across the set.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent softening in the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has left raw copies trading in the mid-to-high $30s after earlier peaks near $45–50, creating a narrow window for an “up” resolution above the $38.92 threshold on Collectr by August 31. Trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability reflects broader Pokémon TCG resilience—up nearly 3% over the past month—alongside anticipation for the August 28 Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin release, which could lift demand for related illustration rares and first-partner promos. Daily sales velocity on TCGPlayer and eBay, plus any late-month collector buying, will determine whether the card stabilizes or drifts lower amid ongoing post-hype correction across the set.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent softening in the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has left raw copies trading in the mid-to-high $30s after earlier peaks near $45–50, creating a narrow window for an “up” resolution above the $38.92 threshold on Collectr by August 31. Trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability reflects broader Pokémon TCG resilience—up nearly 3% over the past month—alongside anticipation for the August 28 Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin release, which could lift demand for related illustration rares and first-partner promos. Daily sales velocity on TCGPlayer and eBay, plus any late-month collector buying, will determine whether the card stabilizes or drifts lower amid ongoing post-hype correction across the set.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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