Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?

裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?

icon for 裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?

裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?

はい

25% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

25% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12, 2026, in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges the Truth API service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting paid subscribers unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements on Truth Social. The complaint seeks injunctive relief to halt the $100,000-per-month early-access feed launched August 1. Plaintiffs moved for a preliminary injunction on September 1, but the case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any appeal typically extend well beyond the October 31 deadline, and the service continues operating with reported subscribers. This procedural posture and absence of emergency relief underpin trader expectations that no blocking order will issue by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,417
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12, 2026, in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges the Truth API service, alleging it violates the First Amendment by granting paid subscribers unequal access to President Trump’s official announcements on Truth Social. The complaint seeks injunctive relief to halt the $100,000-per-month early-access feed launched August 1. Plaintiffs moved for a preliminary injunction on September 1, but the case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any appeal typically extend well beyond the October 31 deadline, and the service continues operating with reported subscribers. This procedural posture and absence of emergency relief underpin trader expectations that no blocking order will issue by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,417
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「裁判所がトランプ氏の10月31日までのTruth Social早期アクセス10万ドル計画を差し止め?」で25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「裁判所がトランプ氏の10月31日までのTruth Social早期アクセス10万ドル計画を差し止め?」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「裁判所は、10月31日までにトランプの$ 100,000 Truth Social早期アクセスプランをブロックしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。