Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks has anchored trader sentiment at an 84% implied probability of “No” for any critical (red-level) incident by June 30. The platform’s official status page records zero red-classified events in June, following only minor, quickly resolved API and session issues in May that never escalated to critical severity. Precedent from similar April and May markets, which also closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforces the view that Discord’s infrastructure manages routine loads without systemic failures. With roughly three weeks left and no announced maintenance windows or widespread user reports of emerging problems, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected red outage before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks has anchored trader sentiment at an 84% implied probability of “No” for any critical (red-level) incident by June 30. The platform’s official status page records zero red-classified events in June, following only minor, quickly resolved API and session issues in May that never escalated to critical severity. Precedent from similar April and May markets, which also closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforces the view that Discord’s infrastructure manages routine loads without systemic failures. With roughly three weeks left and no announced maintenance windows or widespread user reports of emerging problems, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected red outage before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
音量
$1,986終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks has anchored trader sentiment at an 84% implied probability of “No” for any critical (red-level) incident by June 30. The platform’s official status page records zero red-classified events in June, following only minor, quickly resolved API and session issues in May that never escalated to critical severity. Precedent from similar April and May markets, which also closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforces the view that Discord’s infrastructure manages routine loads without systemic failures. With roughly three weeks left and no announced maintenance windows or widespread user reports of emerging problems, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected red outage before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
音量
$2,026終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord’s operational stability over recent weeks has anchored trader sentiment at an 84% implied probability of “No” for any critical (red-level) incident by June 30. The platform’s official status page records zero red-classified events in June, following only minor, quickly resolved API and session issues in May that never escalated to critical severity. Precedent from similar April and May markets, which also closed “No” after comparable quiet stretches, reinforces the view that Discord’s infrastructure manages routine loads without systemic failures. With roughly three weeks left and no announced maintenance windows or widespread user reports of emerging problems, the consensus reflects limited scope for an unexpected red outage before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問